Actinic Keratoses May Predict Skin Cancers in Older Adults
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Actinic Keratoses May Predict Skin Cancers in Older Adults

Heidi Splete

November 09, 2023

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TOPLINE:

Older US adults with actinic keratoses (AKs) have a higher risk for skin cancers, including squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), basal cell carcinoma (BCC), and melanoma.

METHODOLOGY:

  • AKs have been associated with a small risk for cutaneous SCC, but associations with risk for other skin cancers have not been well studied.

  • AKs may be a marker of overall skin cancer risk, but guidelines for AK management lack recommendations for follow-up cancer surveillance.

  • The researchers reviewed data from a random sample of 5 million fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries treated for AKs from 2009 through 2018 in the United States. Patients with seborrheic keratoses (SKs) were included as comparators, and patients with a history of skin cancer were excluded.

  • The primary outcome was the first surgically treated skin cancer, including SCC, BCC, and melanoma.

TAKEAWAY:

  • A total of 555,945 adults with AKs and 481,024 with SKs were included. The mean age was approximately 74.0 years. More than half were female. Most were non-Hispanic White.

  • Among patients with AKs, the absolute risk for any skin cancer after the first AK was 6.3%, 18.4%, and 28.5% at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively.

  • Patients with AKs had a significantly increased relative risk for any skin cancer compared with those with SKs (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.17) and separately for keratinocyte carcinoma (aHR, 2.20), SCC (aHR, 2.63), BCC (aHR, 1.85), and melanoma (aHR, 1.67).

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